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CULTURE AND HISTORY

The Plight Of The North

Problem investigated and the issues
Ghana’s post adjustment growth and poverty reduction performance has been hailed as
impressive, albeit with spatial disparities in the distribution of welfare, especially between the
north and south of the country. Researchers generally agree that economic growth does not
always reduce poverty. Indeed, the effectiveness of growth in reducing poverty depends on the level of inequality in the population. Growth that increases inequality may not reduce poverty; growth that does not change inequality (distribution-neutral growth) and growth that reduces inequality (pro-poor growth) result in poverty reduction. Policy makers can promote pro-poor growth by empowering the poor to participate in growth directly. Policy makers can focus on
interventions that improve productivity in smallholder agriculture, particularly export crops, increasing employment of semi-skilled or unskilled labour, promoting technology adoption, increasing access to production assets, as well as effective participation in input and product markets. Also, increasing public spending on social services and infrastructure made possible by redistribution of the benefits of growth benefits the poor, indirectly.
This brief provides insights into north-south welfare disparities in Ghana by exploring the pro-poorness of growth in the country, and explains why northern Ghana has derived much less benefit from growth in the national output. The brief compares northern Ghana and the south in terms of changes in poverty and inequality, and pro-poorness of growth over 16 years (1991 –2006), and addresses the following questions:
What is the extent of spatial (north-south) differences in the level of poverty and inequality in Ghana?
Are there spatial (north-south) differences in the determinants of poverty in Ghana?
Has economic growth in Ghana been pro-poor, both nationally and across the north-south
divide?
Why the issue is important
Evidence on the pro-poorness of growth over the past 16 years will indicate the effectiveness, or otherwise, of past and current poverty reduction interventions. This will guide policy makers in choosing interventions for poverty reduction in the future. Also, evidence on the levels and changes in poverty and inequality among the populace is useful both for designing targeted social protection policies and for understanding the poverty reduction performance of policy options or interventions. Also, identifying location specific determinants of poverty will improve our understanding of poverty in different contexts and hence our ability to effectively
fight it.
Method of analysis
The study investigates the links between poverty, inequality, and growth by decomposing
poverty into growth and inequality effects.

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1. Inequality is estimated using the entropy measure which decomposes inequality into the within group and between group components.
2. We use an econometric model to identify the determinants of poverty for each period, separately, for northern and southern Ghana. The model helps highlight whether the determinants of poverty are the same for northern and southern Ghana. Finally, pro poorness of economic growth in Ghana is assessed using growth incidence curves (GIC) and pro-poor growth rates.

3. The GIC shows how the growth rates for equal segments of the population vary according to income levels. We use data from the Ghana Living Standards Surveys (GLSS), a comprehensive national household survey conducted in 1991/92, 1998/99 and 2005/06, by the Ghana Statistical Service.
The standard of living for each individual is measured as the total consumption expenditure, per adult equivalent, of the household to which he or she belongs, expressed in constant prices of
Accra.

The non-availability of panel data on poverty in Ghana poses a very big constraint to any
investigation of the growth-poverty-inequality nexus in the country.
Key findings
Northern Ghana lags behind the south in poverty reduction and the gap is widening.
Reduction in the proportion of people who cannot afford their basic needs and nutritional
requirements (as well as those who cannot afford their nutritional requirements alone) is lacking or negligible. Also, the average poor person in Northern Ghana is further below the poverty line than his/ her counterpart in southern Ghana. Between 1991 and 2006 southern Ghana reduced its incidence of poverty by 58.66 percent compared to only 8.87 percent reduction for northernGhana. Indeed, poverty in Northern Ghana increased between 1991 and 1998.
Northern Ghana has had poorer growth performance than the South between 1991 and 2006.
The rate of economic growth in northern Ghana was only 35 percent of that for southern Ghana
for the period 1991 – 2006. The north failed to grow because of its reliance on staple crop
production where growth has been slow, average incomes are lower to begin with, and income growth is slower. In addition there is lower access to infrastructure that is critical to growth, including communication, transportation, and banking facilities. As a result poverty is reducing in southern Ghana but, at best stagnant or increasing in northern Ghana.
Inequality is worsening faster in Northern Ghana than in the South.
Inequality in northern Ghana rose by 25 percent compared to 9.7 percent in the south between
1991 and 2006. The results point to two facts: the poor are not a homogenous group; the gap
between the rich and the poor is increasing. Increases in inequality in northern Ghana further dampen potential poverty reduction gains from growth.
There are spatial (north – south) differences in the determinants of poverty; but female headship of households is a national problem
Female headship of households is associated with higher poverty levels in both north and south.
In northern Ghana, other factors that are associated with poverty include large household size, limited access to infrastructure (extension service) and prevalence of malaria.

On the contrary, in rural south, households with access to extension services, and roads tend to have lower levels of poverty.
Two decades of growth in Ghana has not been pro-poor, but more so for the North.
In general, whilst economic growth was not pro-poor, inequality increased at a faster rate in
northern Ghana, which dissipates some of the poverty reduction benefits of growth.
Consequently, the rates of pro-poor growth for northern Ghana were only about 22 percent of the national average, and a miserable 16.37 percent of the rate for southern Ghana.
Policy implications
• Current poverty reduction strategy does not
generate pro-poor growth; continuing with it
will only worsen the plight of the poor, especially in Northern Ghana.
• Current national growth and poverty
reduction strategy only produces growth in
Southern Ghana; continuing with it will only
increase internal migration to the south and
worsen urban poverty and pressures on social
infrastructure and services in those urban areas.
• Current growth promotion strategies are
increasing inequality in Northern Ghana rapidly;
continuing on that path will create a class
society with persistent poverty in Northern
Ghana thereby hurting human development and
the match towards attaining the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs).
• Current distribution and investment in
infrastructure limit growth opportunities in
northern Ghana; maintaining prevailing trends
will make it almost impossible to reduce
poverty in the area.
Key Recommendations
• Government’s agricultural policy needs to
emphasize investment in small-holder
agriculture, especially food crops to engender
pro-poor growth
• Government and development partners need
to review past and current social protection
interventions to better target the poor, especially in northern Ghana, in order to reduce inequality
and promote pro-poor growth
• The low responsiveness of poverty to
growth in northern Ghana is due to a huge
infrastructure deficit, along with a virtual non-
existence of markets or at best very poor price
signals. The government needs to directly
intervene in unique ways, for example by setting
up a Northern Infrastructure Development Fund,
that compliment current efforts to create the
needed infrastructure.

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