Recent elections and political activities in Africa continues to amuse critics , analysts, experts of security and international relations .
This amusement is in the paroquial interest of how some African leaders view democracy.
They subscribe to the tenets of democracy when it favours them, and make a U-turn when it doesn’t.
It is also interesting to note that whiles some leaders opt for a smooth transfer of power, others throw tantrums and determined to halt the wheels of progress in their country .
The West African region is witnessing a contrasting episode of two elections which depicts the above narrative. Ghana and Gambia.
Whiles Ghana has moved on democratically and peacefully, Gambia has not and gradually opening the flood gate of insecurity because of a leader who is pretending not to understand what democracy is. But how long can he pretend ?
The stark reality is that the current impasse is nothing more than a leader whose U turn is fueled by a sudden greedy shift in ideology and using religion as basis to stay in power.
Folks, below is what Africa or the West African states should watch and consider in tackling the evolving crises in Gambia
Jammeh’s Posturing
1. Jammeh has clearly moved from a non elected president to a dictator with an extremist tendency. And this is unequivocally dangerous.
2. By extension he is presiding over an illegality which is not healthy for the West African sub region in terms of image.
3. His unjustified use of Islam as a shield and basis to stay in power is not only wrong, but exemplifies the modus operandi of extremism. He could rally terror groups by this posture.
4. He seems prepared for a violent encounter or a military onslaught and not ready to go down alone .
What Could Be Motivating Jammeh
1. Possible motivation could come from some members of the international community who may have an exclusive interest in Gambia.
2. Another motivation could come from extremist groups or terror organizations who may have promised to wade in should conflict break out.
3. Corrupt members of Gambia’s military may also be his source of motivation.
Way Forward – If We Chose The Military Option
A West Africa military offensive should be holistic, completely initiated by West African Sub region and no other foreign involvement. This is to avoid a Syria, Iraq and Libya episode where multiple interest could fester proxy wars and provide the platform for extremism or terrorism.
A West Africa military offensive should be precise/ limited, swift and timely . This is to avoid massive casualties , quick return of democratic governance in Gambia and further strengthen the West African region .
The process of peace building when initiated, should include building the capacity of the military of Gambia so as to insulate the country from reprisals or an attempted coup.
In all these, let’s not allow Gambia to slip into the hands of terrorist organizations such as Boko Haram bearing in mind terrorist organisations are looking for opportunities to expand their frontiers.
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